Daily Dial #62 – Two Selections from Ascot and Doncaster

The start of the Flat season at Doncaster continues today, with a few less competitive races which makes for greater betting appeal. We go there for one outsider who looks a worthy chance at a great Each-Way price, as well as one chanced in a small field over obstacles on a decent enough Ascot card.

It was great to watch the Flat season get underway yesterday, although I was rather frustrated with how it unfolded for the only selection on the day. Galeron, who has shown to run so well from off the pace, was sent forward early and had to try and keep up with the early pace, which saw his effort fizzle out fairly early. It was a strange tactic in a race which looked to be ideally suited to him.

Anyway, onto today.

Silks
Moroder 12/1
1pt Win
Ascot · 14:30
Trainer Seamus Mullins
Jockey James Best
SP12/1
ResultPU/8 – Unplaced

Prominent, detached from 10th, weakened after 4 out, tailed off

Silks
Singoura 28/1
1pt Each-Way
Doncaster · 15:30
Trainer Jemma Tutty
Jockey Connor Beasley
SP16/1
Result8/15 btn 7¾L – Unplaced

Raced centre, midfield, headway when groups merged over 2f out, weakened inside final furlong

The first up of the two today is 12 year old Moroder at Ascot, who was well fancied to run well in the Grimthorpe back in February before the ground turned against him and he ultimately ran no sort of race. An out and out Spring horse who always comes into his own at this time of the year, this looks a great bit of placement in a far easier 0-120 Class 4 Handicap, the first time he has dropped into this low a grade in open company.

The unexposed Noahsgreatrainbow is the obvious danger, but if Moroder is in the same form he was touted to be in by his handler back in February, he’ll be in the mix off of a generous mark of 120. This is a race lacking in depth as well as numbers, with just five going to post, so with him likely to get the faster ground he likes, dropping in grade and in a small field, he could really dominate this from the start and prove hard to peg back. I rank Seamus Mullins’ old charge worthy of a minimum bet here at a great price.

The second selection of the day goes an hour later, this time on the Flat at Doncaster, with a lovely looking filly trained by Gemma Tutty, who has had her runners in good order since the turn of the year. She sends Singoura, a huge Rajasinghe filly who caught my eye on both occasions she run at Doncaster last year, and I can’t ignore her off of bottom weight at a huge price here.

She made her turf debut over today’s course and distance last April, on the back of a 117-day break following her Maiden win on second start. It was a small five-runner race, where she was mighty fresh and completely over-exerted herself early doors, but once she settled into the race she travelled beautifully.

She was beaten 1 length by Frankies Dream, who went on to win a 22-runner York handicap off of 7lbs higher, a race in which Singoura finished down the field in, but had boiled over in the preliminaries and was treated for post-race ataxia – a rare, acute neurological condition characterized by incoordination, wobbliness, or loss of balance immediately following intense exercise, often linked to severe heat stress.

She returned to Doncaster next time out, where she ran with credit despite being keen enough again, when beaten 3¼ 4th behind War Howl, who went on to win at Ascot next time out, defying a 6lb rise. Two solid runs at Doncaster, despite overdoing herself in both, suggests she can go best here and in a nice big field, she has a good chance of getting into a nice early rhythm, and she is now a full 8lbs lower in the weights than she was for both of her previous Doncaster runs. Connor Beasley rides, a steer I like and who does well for Gemma Tutty. I think we could see long odds outrun here.

Others to note…

I looked more than twice at Richard Hannon’s An Outlaws Grace (11/1, Doncaster 14:55) stepping back up to 7f, who I think may even want a mile. He has mainly run over 6f and has found it all coming to an end too soon. This yard were in rattling form yesterday, and this one could be dangerously handicapped. However, I was put off by how rarely he was seen last year, so I’m hoping to see him run well in defeat in hope of catching him next time.

I very near punted Yes Indeed (15/2, Ascot 15:40), who goes back under Sean Bowen, who guided him to success on both of his first two runs for Martin Keighley last year. He is far more exposed than his rivals here, but there’s a chance he could get left alone out in front here and should that come to fruition, they may well struggle to reel him back in.

The last of interest was one we’ve backed before who goes for the Ulster National, in Shannon Royale (25/1, Downpatrick 16:27), who I’m convinced is brutally well handicapped. However, he has bled last twice and on that alone, I couldn’t touch him over this marathon test.

Best of luck with your punting today.

Scott