The tough run of June continued on Sunday, with Dream Vega just being seen off by a neck at Doncaster by the Roger Varian debutant, Raneem. She was out of a mare who had produced two fair flops so I’d fancied our chances, but this filly obviously ranks a fair bit better than either of those.
I’ve had to travel for a course today, so there is little substance to today’s post as I’m very short on the time front, but one bet at Royal Ascot which is one I’d been hoping would go for this for this, and I’m sure he will at the very least outrun his long odds for a yard who have a right knack of throwing a dart at this race.
Raced near side, led overall, headed over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong, 8th of 15 in group
The Clive Cox yard have had eleven runners in this race since 2009, and of them nine have ran belting races, including the 2020 winner Nando Parrado who landed the race as a 150/1 chance. Everything about JAAN KI TUKRI has screamed he wants an extra furlong and it’s no shock that they have chucked him in here for his first tilt at it.
| Year | Horse | SP | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | Xtension | 20/1 | 2nd/13 btn 6L |
| 2011 | Lethal Force | 50/1 | 4th/23 btn 1.5L |
| 2014 | Kodi Bear | 20/1 | 5th/15 btn 2L |
| 2017 | Prince Of The Dark | 12/1 | 6th/18 btn 1.7L |
| 2018 | Getchagetchagetcha | — | Unplaced |
| 2019 | Golden Horde | 33/1 | 5th/17 btn 1.7L |
| 2020 | NANDO PARRADO | 150/1 | WON by 1L (15 ran) |
| 2021 | Caturra | 22/1 | 7th/17 btn 2.8L |
| 2022 | Scholarship | — | Unplaced |
| 2024 | Star Anthem | 28/1 | 8th/22 btn 1.5L |
| 2025 | Coppull | 66/1 | 3rd/20 btn 3.2L |
As you can see from above, the majority of runners have ran massive races, with even those finishing 6th, 7th and 8th running close races. The Coventry is a cracking spectacle, but you need one with speed and stamina, which from Jaan Ki Tukri’s stride data, this race could suit him perfectly. I’ve had him in the tracker since his debut run in April and both runs since have only had me wanting to see him over the six furlongs more and more, so with the yards record in the race in mind, I’m in no bit surprised they see him as their best chance this year. This is a yard known for their sprinters, so they know full well what it takes to be competitive here. 1pt Each-Way @ 125/1 (SkyBet, paying 1/5 on 4 Places).
Others to note: Counter Intuitive (7/2, 14:15 Thirsk), Docklands (17/2, 14:30), Talk Of New York (5/1, 16:20 Ascot), Tim Toe (18/1, 17:00 Ascot), Ascending (14/1, 18:10 Ascot).
Good luck to all getting involved. Be Lucky!
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Get your Ledger£5/month launch price · 14-day free trialWhat's a sensible bankroll?
Whatever you can genuinely afford to lose, full stop. Don't play with rent money. Don't chase last week.
For new starters, a sensible starting point is a £100 bank at £1 per point. From there, scale the unit up by 0.5pt for every 50% the bankroll grows — £150 bank → £1.50/pt, £200 → £2/pt, £250 → £2.50/pt, and so on. The inverse — cutting the unit when the bank drops — is good practice but personal preference; I don't do it myself but it's sound advice for most.
What does "each-way" mean?
An each-way bet is two bets in one — a Win bet and a Place bet, each for the same stake. So 1pt each-way means 1pt to win plus 1pt to place: 2pt total out of the bank.
The Place part pays out at a fraction of the win odds (usually 1/4 or 1/5) if the horse finishes in the places — typically the first 3 or 4 depending on the race. Each-way is the right call when the price is generous enough that the place return alone covers the stake. Full guide here.
How do I follow this bet?
Best route is Oddschecker. It pulls every UK bookmaker's price into one screen so you can grab the top of the market — and crucially it shows the place terms, which vary by firm. One bookmaker might offer 11/1 paying 3 places at 1/4 odds; another might offer the same 11/1 paying 4 places at 1/5. Maximum win return vs hedged each-way return — your call which serves the bet better.
If the price has shortened since I advised it, judge it on the case in the prose. Rule of thumb: I'm generally happy down to about two-thirds of the advised price — 14/1 down to 10/1, 8/1 down to 5/1. Below that it's marginal and probably worth passing. Keep an eye on the price in the last 20 minutes too — short prices often drift back out as the off approaches, especially on outsiders. Bet with bookmakers offering Best Odds Guaranteed and you're covered either way.
What if the price has shortened by the time I get to it?
Judge it bet by bet. The cleaner the case in the prose, the more decay I'll tolerate. Rule of thumb is about two-thirds of the advised price — 14/1 down to 10/1 is still in, 9/1 down to 6/1 still fine, anything below that is marginal.
Worth knowing: short prices often drift back out as the off approaches, especially on outsiders. Keep checking in the last 20 minutes — you may get back to the advised price or close to it. And always bet with bookmakers offering Best Odds Guaranteed so you're covered if the SP comes back bigger.
New to this? Read up on: Place Terms · Speed Figures · Each-Way Betting
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