Daily Dial #91 – Two Chanced at Hamilton

Saturday was certainly one of the harder bumper days of racing and it was a wise move to play it with caution. Days such as these, it can be very easy to force the issue somewhat, as there are always a flurry to be interested in, but if it doesn’t all add up they are best left. I know that isn’t the most exciting approach, but saving darts for less competitive racing will see a far steadier return.

Hamilton looks like the betting card of the day today. A track where course form pays, so much so it is one of those which creates local legends — one of which runs today in the shape of Jordan Electrics (9/2, 17:15). One of the worst racehorse names going, but a great advert for local businessman Brian Jordan. Nine of the horse’s sixteen wins have come at Hamilton, and he has won seven of his last eight runs at the track. Quite an incredible run, and no better example of how quirks of a niche track can suit some horses and not so others. He hasn’t won since August 2024, hence I’ve let him run, but I wouldn’t be opposing him either.

First one bet is a lowered stake, with a Minimum Bet on one for the Horse Watchers in CANCELLED, who goes in a fillies’ only handicap. She has been friendless in the betting this morning, so if you didn’t get on when I posted early doors this morning, I’d suggest going each-way at the 12/1 about her chances the now. I’ll keep the Win Bet as originally advised for transparency, but the odds as it stands would’ve changed my approach.

She isn’t the most straightforward and has recently shown a bit of an alarming tendency to hang to her left, but if they have sorted that out and she runs in a straight line, she should be going mighty close off of an ever dropping mark. She is now well below the mark she was competitive off when based in Ireland with Willie McCreery, and looked like she would’ve gone seriously close last time out (her first turf run since switching hands) had she both got a clearer run under David Egan and kept in a straight line. Instead, she got shut for a run down the middle and then hung into the rail, ending her chance having travelled into the race excellently.

With Daniel Tudhope booked, I’m hoping to see an improved spin. The filly has a very similar profile to Walsingham, a Lope De Vega gelding connections acquired from Dermot Weld, who has climbed some 15lbs in the handicap since they got to the bottom of him and went on a fruitful run of four wins in six runs. She may not be as straightforward as him, but she is looking well enough handicapped to make her way pay for sure.

Then up is the ABERAMA GOLD, a nine-year-old and thoroughly exposed one, but he goes well at Hamilton which isn’t a given for everyone, has built up a fantastic relationship with Daniel Tudhope, with their last eight together reading 31411341 and 141141 when narrowed down to today’s grade (Class 4). The rain over the last 24hrs and showers forecast today will only aid his chance, in what looks a weak enough race for the grade.

In a race where most bookmakers are paying four places and with his record of more often than not running into the frame at a minimum in this grade, with winning five and placing in ten from eighteen, at a decent each-way price I just couldn’t overlook him under his most successful partner. Worth noting too that he often rattles a few wins in quick succession once he gets his head in front, which he did so recently in a minor Catterick handicap, and he is up just 1lb from that run.

Best of luck to all getting involved. Be Lucky!