I was after letting the cards run today, as they are not upto much, but having seen the price about one who I’ve been bemused by for a while, I’ve had to dip in for a minor tickle. A minimum bet on 50/1 chance.
There is absolutely nothing on form I can tell you which makes this one sound positive, but this is based purely on pedigree, as I’ve been watching them flog this lad over varying middle-distances since he was with Eve Johnson Houghton in 2024.
He has had two different handlers since, and this is the first time anyone has thought to try him over the distance he is bred for.
Mister Knockout @ 50/1
½pt EW | W’hampton 19:00
T: Gary Brown | J: Gina Mangan
Result: unplaced – 8/8 -1pt | Dwelt start, in touch with leaders, weakened over 2f out (SP 50/1)
I stress, this is a minimum bet for a reason, but there is method in the madness and Mister Knockout is worthy of a minor tickle on account of his pedigree, as he returns back to a sprint distance (6f) here in very moderate company.
He may just be a bit of a monkey and just show absolutely no early speed whatsoever at home, but in a grade this low, it is worth a swing at such a price to find out for a minimal risk. Gary Brown and Gina Mangan won’t be carrying my money overly often, but this is an occasion I’m willing to jump right outside the box.
Below is the record of Rumble Inthejungle progeny on the All Weather by distance, and it is plainly obvious where they have had success. Interestingly, there is only really speed on his dams side, too.
Rumble Inthejungle Progeny per Distance (AW) | ||||||
| Race Distance | Runs | Wins | Win % | P/L (SP) | Places | Place% |
| 5f | 18 | 4 | 22.22% | 6.5 | 9 | 50% |
| 6f | 21 | 3 | 14.29% | -7.75 | 6 | 28.57% |
| 7f | 5 | 0 | 0% | -5 | 1 | 20% |
| 1m | 3 | 0 | 0% | -3 | 0 | 0% |
| 1m.5f | 4 | 0 | 0% | -4 | 0 | 0% |
| 1m1.5f | 2 | 0 | 0% | -2 | 0 | 0% |
| 1m2f | 1 | 0 | 0% | -1 | 0 | 0% |
| 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | -2 | 0 | 0% |
| 7f+ | 17 | 0 | 0% | -17 | 1 | 5.88% |
from HorseRaceBase.comHe hasn’t run in a sprint since his third ever run back in August 2024, where he ran a 3¼ length 4th of nine at Bath, finishing one-paced. Since then he has been tried at various distances between 7.5f and 1m2f (12f), with zero success in nine runs. If this has been the key to him all along, he is on an extremely low mark to make it pay from.
She Went Whoosh could also go fairly well at a decent price, as she ran ¾ Length behind Beauzon last time and gets a 3lb swing on him today, which should see her over a length better off. Considering Beauzon is near even money and she is 16/1, she could be a bet. She is very one-paced, though.
Other notes…
Moderate stuff but there were I few I had taken. I nearly chanced Mythical Isle (Wolverhampton 19:30, 16/1) in the 2nd Division of the race we’ve bet in, on account of her running a ½ Length 2nd of eleven off of 55 in her only C&D start in handicap company. She goes off of 52 today under the same rider, but the form of that race is so poor I couldn’t take it with any level of confidence.
At Catterick there is previous selection Klitschko (16:30, 7/1), who was eased 2lb by the handicapper for his previous run and looks even further well handicapped. He is by Blue Bresil and should be fine with the ground, but he goes in a small field which looks likely to be tactical, whereas he needs a good pace to aim at. I think there will be better days to chance him.
Alto Alto at Plumpton nearly tempted me in at 9/4 (Plumpton 15:30), as he just loves the track, goes off a career low mark and I think the fav, Icare Grandchamp, wants better ground than he’ll get there. Alto Alto jumps like a buck when he gets going round Plumpton and he could well run away with it without getting a glimpse of another rival.
Best of luck with your punting today,
Why are some bets win-only and others each-way?
Three things decide it: confidence, race shape, and the betting market.
If I think a horse has an outstanding win chance, I'll back it win-only to maximise the return — even at a bigger price, where each-way would normally be the safer call. If the win case is more speculative but the place case is strong, each-way carries the bet.
Concrete example: Almanack at Kempton, 2 July 2014. Advised at 22/1 win-only in the morning. The price shortened to 16/1 SP and he won by a short head on the line. Win-only on a confident shout at a generous price is where the real returns come from — when the case is right, you back it to win, not to hedge.
What happens if my horse is a non-runner?
If a horse is declared a non-runner before the race, your stake is returned in full on win or each-way singles.
If it's part of a multiple (accumulator, lucky-15, etc), the bet runs on without that leg and the remaining legs are recalculated. For ante-post bets the rules differ — usually no refund unless the bookmaker is offering NRNB ("Non-Runner No Bet") on the race. Full breakdown here.
Why no advised bet some days?
Because there isn't one. The cards don't always offer value, and the worst thing a tipster can do is force a selection just to fill a slot.
A "No Bet" day is the system working — it's the same discipline that produces the winners on the days the bets are right. Better to sit out a card cleanly than to bleed the bank on filler. The best days are usually the ones I've been patient before.
What do the stake points mean?
Stakes are sized in points, not pounds — that way the same plan works on any size of bankroll.
The Daily Dial uses a simple scale: 1pt is the minimum bet (or 0.5pt each-way), 2pt is a standard bet (or 1pt each-way), and 5pt is the maximum on the strongest fancies (or 2.5pt each-way). The whole thing runs off a 100pt bankroll, so a £100 bank means a point is £1 and a 2pt bet is £2; a £1,000 bank means a point is £10 and a 2pt bet is £20. Scale to whatever feels comfortable.
New to this? Read up on: Going Descriptions · Non-Runner Rules · Pace Bias
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