We took a chance yesterday on what looked like a Willie Mullins second-string and… deary me. She couldn’t have been further from it. Even Tho turned a Grade 3 Bumper into a procession, winning by 16 lengths, and Jody Townend barely broke a sweat in the process.
She looks a serious unit already and is one I’d love to see in the flesh. No doubt one we’ll be seeing at festivals down the line, and very much one to look forward to. There’s a chance we won’t be getting odds like that about her again for a good while. Jody Townend was beaming afterwards, and rightly pointed out the filly had shown her versatility – she’d won previously over three furlongs further on heavy ground – so they’ll have options aplenty going forward. Wherever she ends up, I wouldn’t be after taking her on.
Towards rear, weakened inside final furlong
Six career wins from thirty-nine runs for UPEPO, five of those wins over the 1m4f trip and four of those at Lingfield. His course record reads 111121 with the C&D record reading 1111, two of those wins coming a grade higher than the Class 6 he runs in today. When you look at the weights he’s won off against the claims down the years, he looks extremely well in today…
| Run | Result | OR | Claim | Effective Mark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 / 12 | 53 | — | 53 |
| 2 | 1 / 9 | 56 | — | 56 |
| 3 | 1 / 10 | 62 | — | 62 |
| 4 | 1 / 11 | 63 | 3lbs | 60 |
| 5 | 2 / 6 (btn ½l) | 70 | 3lbs | 67 |
| 6 | 1 / 8 | 58 | 5lbs | 53 |
| Today | — | 60 | 7lbs | 53 |
Today he goes off an OR of 60 but with Myla Coppins’ 7lb claim he runs off an effective mark of 53. That’s the same number he won off first time out, and lower than the marks behind every other win on the line.
Myla Coppins has ridden him twice. Once here at Lingfield off 58 (claiming 5lbs), where he won easily by 3 lengths. Once at Kempton, where he was well beaten – but it’s a course he clearly doesn’t thrive at. Back at Lingfield where he is seen to his best, off a basement mark, in low-grade company, he should be very hard to beat. He opened up as big as 8/1 but it lasted seconds and understandably so.
Best of luck to all getting involved. Be Lucky!
What happens if my horse is a non-runner?
If a horse is declared a non-runner before the race, your stake is returned in full on win or each-way singles.
If it's part of a multiple (accumulator, lucky-15, etc), the bet runs on without that leg and the remaining legs are recalculated. For ante-post bets the rules differ — usually no refund unless the bookmaker is offering NRNB ("Non-Runner No Bet") on the race. Full breakdown here.
Why no advised bet some days?
Because there isn't one. The cards don't always offer value, and the worst thing a tipster can do is force a selection just to fill a slot.
A "No Bet" day is the system working — it's the same discipline that produces the winners on the days the bets are right. Better to sit out a card cleanly than to bleed the bank on filler. The best days are usually the ones I've been patient before.
What do the stake points mean?
Stakes are sized in points, not pounds — that way the same plan works on any size of bankroll.
The Daily Dial uses a simple scale: 1pt is the minimum bet (or 0.5pt each-way), 2pt is a standard bet (or 1pt each-way), and 5pt is the maximum on the strongest fancies (or 2.5pt each-way). The whole thing runs off a 100pt bankroll, so a £100 bank means a point is £1 and a 2pt bet is £2; a £1,000 bank means a point is £10 and a 2pt bet is £20. Scale to whatever feels comfortable.
What's a sensible bankroll?
Whatever you can genuinely afford to lose, full stop. Don't play with rent money. Don't chase last week.
For new starters, a sensible starting point is a £100 bank at £1 per point. From there, scale the unit up by 0.5pt for every 50% the bankroll grows — £150 bank → £1.50/pt, £200 → £2/pt, £250 → £2.50/pt, and so on. The inverse — cutting the unit when the bank drops — is good practice but personal preference; I don't do it myself but it's sound advice for most.
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