With the only selection yesterday winning with ease at Wolverhampton, we’re sticking with the venue in a bid to continue the fruitful run. Three of the last four selections have returned a cumulative +37pts, and I’m hopeful the two tonight will continue in the same vein.
First up, Pickersgill was a selection back in January when making her stable debut for Iain Jardine following her move over the Irish Sea from Sheila Lavery. Pickersgill was one of just three winners from 120+ runners for Lavery in 2025, which suggests she was above average, and her form in Ireland suggests she ran to an Irish mark of 75 at a bare minimum.
She goes here in a 0–65 off 62, and her run back in January when 4th of 11, beaten 3 lengths off 65, suggested she was more than capable. She pulled hard in the early stages that day and was somewhat penned in on the turn under Midge Mullen. When the gap came, the bird had flown, but she finished with plenty of credit.
She has been dropped 3lbs since, a move I can’t understand, but it’s an ease I think they’ll be keen to capitalise on, and the booking of Lewis Edmunds today suggests a positive ride is expected.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | W% | Pl | Pl% | A/E |
| L Edmunds | 21 | 5 | 23.81% | 12 | 57.14% | 2.07 |
| A Mullen | 472 | 38 | 8.05% | 124 | 26.27% | 0.74 |
Next up is Saxon Grace on stable debut for Daragh Bourke and is another who has made the move over the Irish Sea, having moved to Bourke’s Lockerbie-based stable from Co Meath-based Claire O’Connell.
With O’Connell’s record across Flat/AW reading just 4/131, it is fair to say improvement could be expected in more capable hands, and Bourke has a proven track record in his short training career of finding a fast uptick in new recruits.
Of the 17 he has sent out on their first start for him having come from elsewhere in training, he has notched 4 winners (23.5%) and 7 (41%) in the frame. Also worth noting the jockey booking, as a Bourke runner with Jason Hart saddled up for the first time reads 211178180311 — that’s six winners from twelve, and only one of those was sent off the favourite.
Best of luck with your punting today,
Why are some bets win-only and others each-way?
Three things decide it: confidence, race shape, and the betting market.
If I think a horse has an outstanding win chance, I'll back it win-only to maximise the return — even at a bigger price, where each-way would normally be the safer call. If the win case is more speculative but the place case is strong, each-way carries the bet.
Concrete example: Almanack at Kempton, 2 July 2014. Advised at 22/1 win-only in the morning. The price shortened to 16/1 SP and he won by a short head on the line. Win-only on a confident shout at a generous price is where the real returns come from — when the case is right, you back it to win, not to hedge.
What happens if my horse is a non-runner?
If a horse is declared a non-runner before the race, your stake is returned in full on win or each-way singles.
If it's part of a multiple (accumulator, lucky-15, etc), the bet runs on without that leg and the remaining legs are recalculated. For ante-post bets the rules differ — usually no refund unless the bookmaker is offering NRNB ("Non-Runner No Bet") on the race. Full breakdown here.
Why no advised bet some days?
Because there isn't one. The cards don't always offer value, and the worst thing a tipster can do is force a selection just to fill a slot.
A "No Bet" day is the system working — it's the same discipline that produces the winners on the days the bets are right. Better to sit out a card cleanly than to bleed the bank on filler. The best days are usually the ones I've been patient before.
What do the stake points mean?
Stakes are sized in points, not pounds — that way the same plan works on any size of bankroll.
The Daily Dial uses a simple scale: 1pt is the minimum bet (or 0.5pt each-way), 2pt is a standard bet (or 1pt each-way), and 5pt is the maximum on the strongest fancies (or 2.5pt each-way). The whole thing runs off a 100pt bankroll, so a £100 bank means a point is £1 and a 2pt bet is £2; a £1,000 bank means a point is £10 and a 2pt bet is £20. Scale to whatever feels comfortable.
New to this? Read up on: Non-Runner Rules · Each-Way Betting · Win-Only Betting
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