An interesting day or two of racing with a few taken for future intentions, but very little I’ve been able to dig towards in terms of a bet. I’ve probably learnt the hard way recently, but playing more selective darts is certainly bearing fruit. The advantage of having the in-depth betting spreadsheet allows for a full visual on where bets are performing, but more importantly where they’re not, and the 1pt bets have been bitterly disappointing – Hence fewer darts and more targetted selections.
Sunday saw the first 5pt Max Bet chanced of the year, and it proved a confident dart justified, albeit far tighter than I’d have liked. Another selection based on Jack Channon’s impressive debutante’s following up on their second run, which we’ve played twice previously with Seven Fires, who ran well for us at 33/1 in a place and then won comfortably for us when kept with at 7/2. This time it was the turn of SEED YA LATER, who Channon sent on the long trip from their West Ilsley base in the Berkshire Downs, up to Musselburgh, likely an 8 hour drive in a horsebox.
It was a worthwhile journey, as the Bungle Inthejungle filly scored by a short-head in what will likely prove worthy form, with the runnerup already showing promise when a touch unlucky on debut again being well bet, and a Karl Burke debutante who found all manner of trouble and still ran to within 2 lengths. The Burke runner, Kodi Bear colt Tamam Star, is certainly one to take from the race and looks well worth a follow, though I wouldn’t expect him to be much of a price as it was a run which wouldn’t have gone unnoticed.
Took keen hold, midfield, headway on outer 3f out, challenging home turn, led 2f out, soon quickened clear, impressive
The one selection today is one from the tracker, in the shape of Willie Mullins’ promising recruit EVEN THO who goes in the graded bumper at Punchestown. The jockey bookings suggest this is their second-string, with Patrick Mullins appearing to opt for the ride on Glens Anthem, but Even Tho looked so impressive, I can’t not take a chance at a good price.
She is a half-sister to The Enabler, a very useful gelding of Gordon Elliott’s who hails from Denman’s line, who won a Listed Bumper himself, and this mare looked to have a mighty engine herself when dispatching a decent yardstick in Araminta, a mare who was already on my radar from when she ran 4th behind Moonverrin in a Grade 2 Bumper at Leopardstown. Even Tho saw her off easily by 4½ lengths which suggests she is far above average.
Only after that run against Araminta did I look into the previous form of Even Tho, whose only other run came in a Point-to-Point, where she was in the process of winning comfortably when she fell approaching the last, leaving the quirky but talented Burds Of A Feather, who has since won a Warwick Bumper for Max Comley by an impressive 19 lengths.
However she fairs today, Even Tho will certainly be one to keep firm tabs on when she goes over obstacles, but I’d be disappointed if she doesn’t put a big run in today.
Best of luck to all getting involved. Be Lucky!
Why no advised bet some days?
Because there isn't one. The cards don't always offer value, and the worst thing a tipster can do is force a selection just to fill a slot.
A "No Bet" day is the system working — it's the same discipline that produces the winners on the days the bets are right. Better to sit out a card cleanly than to bleed the bank on filler. The best days are usually the ones I've been patient before.
What do the stake points mean?
Stakes are sized in points, not pounds — that way the same plan works on any size of bankroll.
The Daily Dial uses a simple scale: 1pt is the minimum bet (or 0.5pt each-way), 2pt is a standard bet (or 1pt each-way), and 5pt is the maximum on the strongest fancies (or 2.5pt each-way). The whole thing runs off a 100pt bankroll, so a £100 bank means a point is £1 and a 2pt bet is £2; a £1,000 bank means a point is £10 and a 2pt bet is £20. Scale to whatever feels comfortable.
What's a sensible bankroll?
Whatever you can genuinely afford to lose, full stop. Don't play with rent money. Don't chase last week.
For new starters, a sensible starting point is a £100 bank at £1 per point. From there, scale the unit up by 0.5pt for every 50% the bankroll grows — £150 bank → £1.50/pt, £200 → £2/pt, £250 → £2.50/pt, and so on. The inverse — cutting the unit when the bank drops — is good practice but personal preference; I don't do it myself but it's sound advice for most.
What does "each-way" mean?
An each-way bet is two bets in one — a Win bet and a Place bet, each for the same stake. So 1pt each-way means 1pt to win plus 1pt to place: 2pt total out of the bank.
The Place part pays out at a fraction of the win odds (usually 1/4 or 1/5) if the horse finishes in the places — typically the first 3 or 4 depending on the race. Each-way is the right call when the price is generous enough that the place return alone covers the stake. Full guide here.
New to this? Read up on: National Hunt Racing · Each-Way Betting · Betting Odds
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