Three bets for Saturday online. A dog walk and youngests Football tournament this morning. The blog in full will have to wait. The Newmarket bet was a non-runner when going up on Monday… I mentioned that day that I had question marks over the trip. They dodged that run to come here, over what I think is the optimal trip. Bodes well.
Took keen hold, prominent, outpaced 1f out
Raced far side, in touch with leaders, weakened gradually final furlong
First up Southern Boulevard goes in a race Ger Lyons has won three of the last four renewals of, sending a debutant who looks very interesting. A No Ney Never filly, out of a mare who was prolific as a 2yo, winning Listed, Group 3 and Group 2 sprints in France. /p>
Then Divine Libra who skipped Windsor over the 6f, who goes here over 7f. One I put in the tracker as a “Must Bet” next time out, so here we go.
Then to round off is Kisirya, who goes in a ladies pro/am riders handicap under Gina Mangan. Not a race I’d ideally target and not a rider I’ll often bet, but she has been riding really well with very limited decent chances and her mount here has form over this trip from when stabled with Johnny Murtagh in Ireland which would put her bang in this. A minimum bet on vastly inflated odds who has a squeak of winning andf every right to hit the frame.
Ma Leila (15/2, Beverley 16:35), Tattie Bogle (9/4, Beverley 17:10), Glamorize (8/13, Nottingham 18:00) and Invincible Ruby (15/2, Carlisle 20:39).
Good luck to all getting involved. Be Lucky!
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Get your Ledger£5/month launch price · 14-day free trialWhat do the stake points mean?
Stakes are sized in points, not pounds — that way the same plan works on any size of bankroll.
The Daily Dial uses a simple scale: 1pt is the minimum bet (or 0.5pt each-way), 2pt is a standard bet (or 1pt each-way), and 5pt is the maximum on the strongest fancies (or 2.5pt each-way). The whole thing runs off a 100pt bankroll, so a £100 bank means a point is £1 and a 2pt bet is £2; a £1,000 bank means a point is £10 and a 2pt bet is £20. Scale to whatever feels comfortable.
What's a sensible bankroll?
Whatever you can genuinely afford to lose, full stop. Don't play with rent money. Don't chase last week.
For new starters, a sensible starting point is a £100 bank at £1 per point. From there, scale the unit up by 0.5pt for every 50% the bankroll grows — £150 bank → £1.50/pt, £200 → £2/pt, £250 → £2.50/pt, and so on. The inverse — cutting the unit when the bank drops — is good practice but personal preference; I don't do it myself but it's sound advice for most.
What does "each-way" mean?
An each-way bet is two bets in one — a Win bet and a Place bet, each for the same stake. So 1pt each-way means 1pt to win plus 1pt to place: 2pt total out of the bank.
The Place part pays out at a fraction of the win odds (usually 1/4 or 1/5) if the horse finishes in the places — typically the first 3 or 4 depending on the race. Each-way is the right call when the price is generous enough that the place return alone covers the stake. Full guide here.
How do I follow this bet?
Best route is Oddschecker. It pulls every UK bookmaker's price into one screen so you can grab the top of the market — and crucially it shows the place terms, which vary by firm. One bookmaker might offer 11/1 paying 3 places at 1/4 odds; another might offer the same 11/1 paying 4 places at 1/5. Maximum win return vs hedged each-way return — your call which serves the bet better.
If the price has shortened since I advised it, judge it on the case in the prose. Rule of thumb: I'm generally happy down to about two-thirds of the advised price — 14/1 down to 10/1, 8/1 down to 5/1. Below that it's marginal and probably worth passing. Keep an eye on the price in the last 20 minutes too — short prices often drift back out as the off approaches, especially on outsiders. Bet with bookmakers offering Best Odds Guaranteed and you're covered either way.
New to this? Read up on: Handicap Races · Best Odds Guaranteed · Betting Odds
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