When your luck is out, hey? Yesterday’s only bet, Floral Maid, went off 25/1 at Beverley, didn’t appear to handle the track particularly well, was one of the first off the bridle and had a mountain to climb, but eventually put it all together to be beaten just a neck. Fair to say with three more positive strides she’d have won the race? She was bet on account of Calyx progeny loving the deep ground, and she clearly did just that. Galyx, the Channon horse at Beverley, won by three lengths and some. They absolutely adore the mud.
Seeing another poor month out with just the one bet, and playing it sensible on account of two fronts: a) a quiet small stable who don’t win many, and b) the race isn’t the worst for the grade. That said, she is bred to be useful on the All Weather, has a bit of form from her time with Karl Burke to suggest she can surpass this mark and has a run under her belt following a lengthy lay-off. At 50/1 she is worth a tickle, but the reduced stakes mean I’m accepting another losing month either way.
Whilst another negative month is obviously a downer, I have to take some solace from the fact this has been a very different month from last and there have been some seriously unfortunate moments which would’ve made this month feel very different. I’ll round that up in the Redial tonight, where I’ll look back on the month, but the overwhelming feeling is one of near misses, rather than last month where every shot felt like it went out for a throw-in. I know that doesn’t help the bank, and trust me, nobody is as frustrated as me, but having evidence you’re on the right tracks will see us right long term.
Took keen hold, never better than midfield
The only bet is one on handicap debut for Lawrence Mullaney, with PEACEFUL SPIRIT at Southwell. By Phoenix Of Spain (progeny are 13/55 for 23.6% at Southwell – the best stallion pointer in the field) and out of an Invincible Spirit mare whose other four offspring have all shown ability, she is bred to be useful on the All Weather and already has some form in the book from her two runs as a two-year-old when with Karl Burke. Her third and final qualifying run, her first start for Mullaney, came on the back of a 499-day break and she understandably emptied out fast, but even still she wasn’t disgraced. Now entering handicaps and going off a lowly mark of 62, I think she could spring a bit of a surprise here. It’s an exposed field, though not a bad one, but if she’s got a few pounds in hand she should prove competitive at the least, so with four places on offer she is worthy of an each-way.
Ballyearl (66/1, Cartmel 15:10), Filly Eilish (7/2, Southwell 15:51) and Lope Y Linda (10/1, Southwell 17:35).
Best of luck to all getting involved today.
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Get your Ledger£29.99 a year · cancel any timeWhat happens if my horse is a non-runner?
If a horse is declared a non-runner before the race, your stake is returned in full on win or each-way singles.
If it's part of a multiple (accumulator, lucky-15, etc), the bet runs on without that leg and the remaining legs are recalculated. For ante-post bets the rules differ — usually no refund unless the bookmaker is offering NRNB ("Non-Runner No Bet") on the race. Full breakdown here.
Why no advised bet some days?
Because there isn't one. The cards don't always offer value, and the worst thing a tipster can do is force a selection just to fill a slot.
A "No Bet" day is the system working — it's the same discipline that produces the winners on the days the bets are right. Better to sit out a card cleanly than to bleed the bank on filler. The best days are usually the ones I've been patient before.
What do the stake points mean?
Stakes are sized in points, not pounds — that way the same plan works on any size of bankroll.
The Daily Dial uses a simple scale: 1pt is the minimum bet (or 0.5pt each-way), 2pt is a standard bet (or 1pt each-way), and 5pt is the maximum on the strongest fancies (or 2.5pt each-way). The whole thing runs off a 100pt bankroll, so a £100 bank means a point is £1 and a 2pt bet is £2; a £1,000 bank means a point is £10 and a 2pt bet is £20. Scale to whatever feels comfortable.
What's a sensible bankroll?
Whatever you can genuinely afford to lose, full stop. Don't play with rent money. Don't chase last week.
For new starters, a sensible starting point is a £100 bank at £1 per point. From there, scale the unit up by 0.5pt for every 50% the bankroll grows — £150 bank → £1.50/pt, £200 → £2/pt, £250 → £2.50/pt, and so on. The inverse — cutting the unit when the bank drops — is good practice but personal preference; I don't do it myself but it's sound advice for most.
New to this? Read up on: Handicap Races · Ante-Post Betting · Going Descriptions
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