Daily Dial #147 – One Bet at Lingfield

Not much to get excited about when looking into the cards today, coming out of it with a very clean single line left from the options I tethered for a bet. There are a couple who are worth a watch mentioned, but neither were ever much of a betting option in comparison to the one chanced. The one we do go with was a handsome winner for readers back in January, when the mare won a near mirror image race over the C&D at 16/1. She goes again at double the price here, which just can’t be ignored.

The three yesterday were typically muddling runs, where the reduced stake minimum bet was, typically, the only one to result in a positive. Unbelievable stroke of shithousery, for how many full bets went before it running duffs. The reduced stake was a necessity, as to be fair it was probably the weakest case, on paper, we’ve bet for months. That Jack Channon 2TO improvement is just bombproof. Said it before… There is not a better angle in sports betting currently.

The only bet is Michael Attwater’s mare KAARESS, who won easily for us in a near identical Classified Stakes over this C&D back in January at 16/1. She is best coming off the pace from a decent gallop, and fairly well flew off the bend to pick off rivals and go clear. She was bet that day on account of looking clear of any of her rivals on past efforts, and it’s a fair shout to say the same applies here. The mare aside, only Sunset In Paris and Taskheer have more than one win to their name in this field, with the former being 50/1 here for a reason following a long succession of dismal runs, and the latter having failed to stay this trip in his formative years and then gone on to score his only successes when dropped back over the 7f and the mile trips.

She put a few lesser runs in following her success for us in January, but has since been freshened up with a break and had what appeared to be a run to blow away the cobwebs at Windsor recently. With a history of improving for a run following a break, she should be fairly well set to go here in what looks a dismal race. My only concern would be if there was a lack of pace on, but in a field this size there should be a couple keen enough to take each other on for it. If she ends up too prominent though, I’d fear she’d fail to see it out to best effect. At 25/1 though, the muddling pace shape is worth risking.

Of the others who were fleetingly looked at, Lady Kara (9/2, Newton Abbot 19:12) was by a stretch the more interesting, but I’d need to see a convincing full round over fences before I could chance her for a bet. She is a seriously tough mare, which is the golden goose, and by Kapgarde – they usually improve for a fence. She was going great guns on her chase debut at Stratford back in June, until she made a mistake four fences from home and her race entirely fell apart from there on in, making a mistake at each obstacle until eventually unseating her rider. She doesn’t look the biggest, but she’s all heart. I’m hoping to see her run with credit today whilst completing a sound round, then hopefully catch her next time. Hopeful I don’t regret skipping her today.

T’other I looked over was Market Leader (2/1, Southwell 19:30) who has run to a good level already in two starts but now switches to the All Weather and looks every bit bred to appreciate it, being by Blue Point and out of a Street Cry mare. Added to the fact Karl Burke is almost prolific in Southwell’s AW Maidens and Novices, he looks an interesting number despite being short enough in the betting, but within a minute of looking into the rest of the field I knew I was tapping that one out. Ebt’s Warrior, El Morjan, and Night Of Gold all look very capable sorts on pedigree.

Lady Kara (9/2, Newton Abbot 19:12) and Market Leader (2/1, Southwell 19:30).

Best of luck to all getting involved today.