Dull patch. Tuesday’s two drew a blank, with the well-bet Thunderous Love the real disappointment on the day. With her course form and very attractive mark, I was hopeful of seeing a return to form for her, and the fact she was sent off 10/3 in the betting suggests I wasn’t alone in that. However, for whatever reason, she just isn’t firing this term and duly disappointed again.
T’other on the day, Cosmic Jive, ran a fair race and shaped better than the bare result (7/13 btn 8¼L) suggests. She was drawn widest and in all honesty that probably cost her competing for a place, as she travelled well and wasn’t knocked about in pressing to finish closer once it was clear she was beaten. In the right race I would chance her again next time around.
Took keen hold, pressed leader, led but pestered after 1f, headed over 2f out, weakened 1f out
One play today, despite looking at a plethora of possible bets, which only emphasises what a difficult set of cards is on offer. Ralph Beckett does well with his fillies and the way in which KINDLY QUEEN travelled last time out on her turf debut was enough for her to really register on the radar. She overraced throughout the early stages, which looked to put paid to her winning chance late on, as she wandered around a bit when setting up to duel with the eventual winner, and the pair pulled well clear of a George Baker mare who has been running to a good level of form on the All-Weather. It was a run which didn’t go unnoticed by the handicapper, as she was nudged up 3lbs for that runner-up effort, a move you don’t see all too often. Edward Greatrex retains the ride and is 7/24 (29%) on the yard’s fillies in Flat handicaps. 2pt Win at 9/1 (General).
Others To Note — Nascent Star (7/2, Nottingham 14:35), Tanmawwy (100/1, Newbury 15:30), Return To Unit (4/1, Nottingham 15:42), Newtown Duke (17/2, Yarmouth 16:28), Tropical Sands (15/2, Newbury 16:40) and Kom Tu Voudras (9/4, Worcester 20:53).
Best of luck to all getting involved.
Bet logs, spreadsheets and course cheatsheets — built the same honest way as the tips.
Visit the Shop →Why no advised bet some days?
Because there isn't one. The cards don't always offer value, and the worst thing a tipster can do is force a selection just to fill a slot.
A "No Bet" day is the system working — it's the same discipline that produces the winners on the days the bets are right. Better to sit out a card cleanly than to bleed the bank on filler. The best days are usually the ones I've been patient before.
What do the stake points mean?
Stakes are sized in points, not pounds — that way the same plan works on any size of bankroll.
The Daily Dial uses a simple scale: 1pt is the minimum bet (or 0.5pt each-way), 2pt is a standard bet (or 1pt each-way), and 5pt is the maximum on the strongest fancies (or 2.5pt each-way). The whole thing runs off a 100pt bankroll, so a £100 bank means a point is £1 and a 2pt bet is £2; a £1,000 bank means a point is £10 and a 2pt bet is £20. Scale to whatever feels comfortable.
What's a sensible bankroll?
Whatever you can genuinely afford to lose, full stop. Don't play with rent money. Don't chase last week.
For new starters, a sensible starting point is a £100 bank at £1 per point. From there, scale the unit up by 0.5pt for every 50% the bankroll grows — £150 bank → £1.50/pt, £200 → £2/pt, £250 → £2.50/pt, and so on. The inverse — cutting the unit when the bank drops — is good practice but personal preference; I don't do it myself but it's sound advice for most.
What does "each-way" mean?
An each-way bet is two bets in one — a Win bet and a Place bet, each for the same stake. So 1pt each-way means 1pt to win plus 1pt to place: 2pt total out of the bank.
The Place part pays out at a fraction of the win odds (usually 1/4 or 1/5) if the horse finishes in the places — typically the first 3 or 4 depending on the race. Each-way is the right call when the price is generous enough that the place return alone covers the stake. Full guide here.
New to this? Read up on: Each-Way Betting · Handicap Races · Betting Odds
Get tomorrow's pick before the off
Every selection posted before the race — the angle, the reasoning, the price. Free, no fluff.
