Daily Dial

17

Jul

Daily Dial #124 – Two Bets from Down Royal and Newmarket

Onto today, and from a fair chunk of runners roughed through, I'm left with two who I think are solid punts — Hot to Foxtrot at Down Royal and Angel Shared at Newmarket.

16

Jul

Daily Dial #123 – One Bet at Chepstow

A quiet day of racing, but one at Chepstow gets the big plus I was looking for in the shape of a marked upgrade in the saddle. Another stab at taking on an odds-on favourite with a distinctly lacking record, at a price enticing enough to have a go.

14

Jul

How to Read Pace in Horse Racing

The pub post-mortem is pace analysis done too late - here is the method that does it before the off, with a worked example and the free Pace Analyser that draws the map.

13

Jul

Daily Dial #122 – Three Bets from Lingfield and Windsor

Suitably refreshed after a break in play, I've dodged a tough Ayr card and found three to aim at across Lingfield and Windsor — from a horse I keep chancing to a 50/1 each-way swing.

12

Jul

On the Record: Why Gut Feel Is the Most Expensive Habit in Betting

Almost every punter runs on gut feel — and gut feel keeps a crooked set of books. What a proper betting record reveals about where you actually win and lose, and how to keep one without it becoming a chore.

08

Jul

Daily Dial #121 – One Bet at Kempton

Possibly a glutton for punishment, today I'm hunting down a bet in an Apprentice Handicap at Kempton. These are races I'd ordinarily avoid, but when an odds-on jolly is screaming at you to take them on, it means you should be getting enormous value in the rest of the race, which I'm hopeful of here.

07

Jul

Daily Dial #120 – A Prudent Punt at Pontefract

Not much doing from the tracker or the alerts today, but Pontefract's Fillies' & Mares' Listed has thrown up a mare who's already beaten a Listed winner and ran big in a $1.26m US feature — at 11/2, I think she should be about half that.

06

Jul

Daily Dial #119 – Ripon and Wolverhampton

A later post after a heavy night, but two picks were locked in well ahead of the off — one at Ripon, one at Wolverhampton. Plus a word on why yesterday's Ouro Preto run shouldn't be written off despite the beaten finish.

05

Jul

Daily Dial #118 – One Bet at Ayr

One bet today — Iain Jardine's OURO PRETO at Ayr, a horse recruited out of France with three wins to his name and an encouraging run at Carlisle last time that was as much about the trip catching him out as anything else. Back down in distance and at 33/1, he makes plenty of sense.

04

Jul

Daily Dial #117 – Naas, Newmarket and Carlisle

Saturday brings three bets across Naas, Newmarket and Carlisle — a Ger Lyons debutant with serious pedigree in a race his yard owns, a must-bet tracker pick finally getting the right trip, and a 50/1 each-way play that has more going for it than the price suggests.

03

Jul

Daily Dial #116 – One from the Tracker at Sandown

One from the tracker at Sandown — Encounter was the danger we flagged when Gymbaazy won at 33/1 last month, and a clear case of interference cost him that day. Ryan Moore in the saddle tells you the yard mean business.

01

Jul

Daily Dial #115 – Three Bets from Fairyhouse, Epsom and Bath

Three bets today from Fairyhouse, Epsom and Bath — a notebook flag, a trainer angle that the market keeps ignoring, and a course specialist who's done it twice here already under the same rider. June ends in the red but the strike rate tells a better story than the bottom line; back at it with three solid reasons to be

29

Jun

Daily Dial #114 – Three Bets at Kempton and Windsor

Three bets today across Kempton and Windsor — pedigree edge in a novice that lacks it, a tracker horse dropping back in trip with enough to like about the race despite the reservations, and a third-time selection who's been knocking on the door long enough that he owes us one in a grade he should be winning.

22

Jun

Daily Dial #113 – One Bet at Ballinrobe

The four UK cards didn’t have anything overly jumping out at me, despite a few running who have been on the radar, but there was one runner for a prolific yard over at Ballinrobe in Ireland who I couldn’t ignore.

21

Jun

Daily Dial #112 – Brighton and Pontefract

Three bets across Brighton and Pontefract today — two each-way chances at prices and a course specialist who has form figures at Pontefract that read like a broken record. After a frustrating weekend, there's reason to think the handicapper has left at least one of these ahead of his mark.