A quiet day of racing, but one who I marked of interest and gets the big plus I was looking for in the shape of a marked upgrade in the saddle, and the price is enticing enough to have a go. Another stab at taking on an odds-on favourite with a distinctly lacking record, which I’m hopeful of giving us a chunk of value against them. Elsewhere on the day there’s little, so no others of note feature.
Towards rear, headway and in touch with leaders over 1f out, no extra final 110yds
Having spent the large part of last year battling the handicapper for two no more than decent runs in Novice company when under the guidance of Jane Chapple-Hyam, ECHALAR got off the mark at the eighth time of asking when scoring from a mark of 77 at Wolverhampton this January. Since moved to Ian Williams and with a series of patchy runs since, he had come down to a mark of 75 when running a big race towards the end of last month, in a race which looks a good level of form for this Class 5 grade. What really stood out for me there though was putting that run in under Irish National Hunt jockey Robert Dunne, who has had over 4,000 rides in the National Hunt sphere, whilst this was just his 23rd ride on the Flat.
It was an untidy ride too, looking likely to fall out the back of the telly around the 3f marker, before regathering momentum, then taking a fair bump, yet still rallying to finish a very fair third, beaten just 1½ lengths. It was a run which could be marked up in a number of ways, and suggested his current mark of 75 was a sitting duck. Today he gets the eyecatching upgrade of Billy Loughnane, who I’d expect to have his rides abysmally priced on account of his duel with Oisin Murphy for the Jockeys’ title, but this is one who looks a good few points bigger than I’d chalk him. (13/2 generally available)
Good luck all.
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Get your Ledger£5/month launch price · 14-day free trialWhat happens if my horse is a non-runner?
If a horse is declared a non-runner before the race, your stake is returned in full on win or each-way singles.
If it's part of a multiple (accumulator, lucky-15, etc), the bet runs on without that leg and the remaining legs are recalculated. For ante-post bets the rules differ — usually no refund unless the bookmaker is offering NRNB ("Non-Runner No Bet") on the race. Full breakdown here.
Why no advised bet some days?
Because there isn't one. The cards don't always offer value, and the worst thing a tipster can do is force a selection just to fill a slot.
A "No Bet" day is the system working — it's the same discipline that produces the winners on the days the bets are right. Better to sit out a card cleanly than to bleed the bank on filler. The best days are usually the ones I've been patient before.
What do the stake points mean?
Stakes are sized in points, not pounds — that way the same plan works on any size of bankroll.
The Daily Dial uses a simple scale: 1pt is the minimum bet (or 0.5pt each-way), 2pt is a standard bet (or 1pt each-way), and 5pt is the maximum on the strongest fancies (or 2.5pt each-way). The whole thing runs off a 100pt bankroll, so a £100 bank means a point is £1 and a 2pt bet is £2; a £1,000 bank means a point is £10 and a 2pt bet is £20. Scale to whatever feels comfortable.
What's a sensible bankroll?
Whatever you can genuinely afford to lose, full stop. Don't play with rent money. Don't chase last week.
For new starters, a sensible starting point is a £100 bank at £1 per point. From there, scale the unit up by 0.5pt for every 50% the bankroll grows — £150 bank → £1.50/pt, £200 → £2/pt, £250 → £2.50/pt, and so on. The inverse — cutting the unit when the bank drops — is good practice but personal preference; I don't do it myself but it's sound advice for most.
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