Tips
Possibly a glutton for punishment, today I’m hunting down a bet in an Apprentice Handicap at Kempton. These are races I’d ordinarily avoid, but when an odds-on jolly is screaming at you to take them on, it means you should be getting enormous value in the rest of the race, which I’m hopeful of here.
Not much doing from the tracker or the alerts today, but Pontefract’s Fillies’ & Mares’ Listed has thrown up a mare who’s already beaten a Listed winner and ran big in a $1.26m US feature — at 11/2, I think she should be about half that.
A later post after a heavy night, but two picks were locked in well ahead of the off — one at Ripon, one at Wolverhampton. Plus a word on why yesterday’s Ouro Preto run shouldn’t be written off despite the beaten finish.
One bet today — Iain Jardine’s OURO PRETO at Ayr, a horse recruited out of France with three wins to his name and an encouraging run at Carlisle last time that was as much about the trip catching him out as anything else. Back down in distance and at 33/1, he makes plenty of sense.
Saturday brings three bets across Naas, Newmarket and Carlisle — a Ger Lyons debutant with serious pedigree in a race his yard owns, a must-bet tracker pick finally getting the right trip, and a 50/1 each-way play that has more going for it than the price suggests.
One from the tracker at Sandown — Encounter was the danger we flagged when Gymbaazy won at 33/1 last month, and a clear case of interference cost him that day. Ryan Moore in the saddle tells you the yard mean business.
Three bets today from Fairyhouse, Epsom and Bath — a notebook flag, a trainer angle that the market keeps ignoring, and a course specialist who’s done it twice here already under the same rider. June ends in the red but the strike rate tells a better story than the bottom line; back at it with three solid reasons to be interested.
Three bets today across Kempton and Windsor — pedigree edge in a novice that lacks it, a tracker horse dropping back in trip with enough to like about the race despite the reservations, and a third-time selection who’s been knocking on the door long enough that he owes us one in a grade he should be winning.
The four UK cards didn’t have anything overly jumping out at me, despite a few running who have been on the radar, but there was one runner for a prolific yard over at Ballinrobe in Ireland who I couldn’t ignore.
Three bets across Brighton and Pontefract today — two each-way chances at prices and a course specialist who has form figures at Pontefract that read like a broken record. After a frustrating weekend, there’s reason to think the handicapper has left at least one of these ahead of his mark.