Tips
A mare who’s tumbled down the weights, a huge price on recent form and vastly overlooked at Wolverhampton tonight. But I think they’ve all missed the vital clue — her need for a strong early pace, which she finally gets here.
The only bet today, on a seriously muddling day of it, is Jessica Harrington’s handicap debutant Noble Honour at The Curragh, off what looks a seriously lenient mark.
Onto today, and from a fair chunk of runners roughed through, I’m left with two who I think are solid punts — Hot to Foxtrot at Down Royal and Angel Shared at Newmarket.
A quiet day of racing, but one at Chepstow gets the big plus I was looking for in the shape of a marked upgrade in the saddle. Another stab at taking on an odds-on favourite with a distinctly lacking record, at a price enticing enough to have a go.
Suitably refreshed after a break in play, I’ve dodged a tough Ayr card and found three to aim at across Lingfield and Windsor — from a horse I keep chancing to a 50/1 each-way swing.
Possibly a glutton for punishment, today I’m hunting down a bet in an Apprentice Handicap at Kempton. These are races I’d ordinarily avoid, but when an odds-on jolly is screaming at you to take them on, it means you should be getting enormous value in the rest of the race, which I’m hopeful of here.
Not much doing from the tracker or the alerts today, but Pontefract’s Fillies’ & Mares’ Listed has thrown up a mare who’s already beaten a Listed winner and ran big in a $1.26m US feature — at 11/2, I think she should be about half that.
A later post after a heavy night, but two picks were locked in well ahead of the off — one at Ripon, one at Wolverhampton. Plus a word on why yesterday’s Ouro Preto run shouldn’t be written off despite the beaten finish.
One bet today — Iain Jardine’s OURO PRETO at Ayr, a horse recruited out of France with three wins to his name and an encouraging run at Carlisle last time that was as much about the trip catching him out as anything else. Back down in distance and at 33/1, he makes plenty of sense.
Saturday brings three bets across Naas, Newmarket and Carlisle — a Ger Lyons debutant with serious pedigree in a race his yard owns, a must-bet tracker pick finally getting the right trip, and a 50/1 each-way play that has more going for it than the price suggests.