Short and sharp today as I’m on a brutal turnaround from a night shift, but with one clear stand out bet from Sandown who went in the tracker last month when following our 33/1 winner Gymbaazy home.
Soon pressed leader, lost ground 2f out, weakened final furlong
I mentioned ENCOUNTER as the danger on the day when we backed Gymbaazy last month, and if it wasn’t for clipping heels and getting into trouble, they certainly would’ve gone closer than the 1½ lengths beaten that day, and without doubt would’ve at least followed us home ahead of the odds-on favourite, King’s Welcome. I think that race will prove worthwhile form, and there was enough to like about his debut too, when putting four lengths between him and Bin Waary, who has since ran to a mark of around 78. With Ryan Moore booked, we’re not getting as much juice as I’d have hoped, but what that does tell you is the yard want the job done here today.
Mobadir (22/1, Doncaster 14:00), Vastern (17/2, Chepstow 18:15), Moscow Power (15/8, Chepstow 19:53) and Poets Sonnet (9/1, Wexford 20:30) who has been backed in from an opening show of 25/1, for this first Bumper runner under rules for the yard since 2021.
Good luck to all getting involved. Be Lucky!
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Get your Ledger£5/month launch price · 14-day free trialWhy are some bets win-only and others each-way?
Three things decide it: confidence, race shape, and the betting market.
If I think a horse has an outstanding win chance, I'll back it win-only to maximise the return — even at a bigger price, where each-way would normally be the safer call. If the win case is more speculative but the place case is strong, each-way carries the bet.
Concrete example: Almanack at Kempton, 2 July 2014. Advised at 22/1 win-only in the morning. The price shortened to 16/1 SP and he won by a short head on the line. Win-only on a confident shout at a generous price is where the real returns come from — when the case is right, you back it to win, not to hedge.
What happens if my horse is a non-runner?
If a horse is declared a non-runner before the race, your stake is returned in full on win or each-way singles.
If it's part of a multiple (accumulator, lucky-15, etc), the bet runs on without that leg and the remaining legs are recalculated. For ante-post bets the rules differ — usually no refund unless the bookmaker is offering NRNB ("Non-Runner No Bet") on the race. Full breakdown here.
Why no advised bet some days?
Because there isn't one. The cards don't always offer value, and the worst thing a tipster can do is force a selection just to fill a slot.
A "No Bet" day is the system working — it's the same discipline that produces the winners on the days the bets are right. Better to sit out a card cleanly than to bleed the bank on filler. The best days are usually the ones I've been patient before.
What do the stake points mean?
Stakes are sized in points, not pounds — that way the same plan works on any size of bankroll.
The Daily Dial uses a simple scale: 1pt is the minimum bet (or 0.5pt each-way), 2pt is a standard bet (or 1pt each-way), and 5pt is the maximum on the strongest fancies (or 2.5pt each-way). The whole thing runs off a 100pt bankroll, so a £100 bank means a point is £1 and a 2pt bet is £2; a £1,000 bank means a point is £10 and a 2pt bet is £20. Scale to whatever feels comfortable.
New to this? Read up on: Win-Only Betting · Ante-Post Betting · Betting Odds
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